The Shock That Stayed: The COVID Pandemic and Its Impact on Assessment
2026
Social Science Quarterly Volume 107, Issue 5
This study examines the sharp increase in average course grades at a large Midwestern state university during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using multivariate analysis with course–faculty matching and other controls, the study finds that grade increases were largest in courses with relatively low pre-pandemic average grades and that these courses retained a greater share of the increase over time. The results suggest that the pandemic contributed to compression at the upper end of the grade distribution, including fewer low grades in some STEM gatekeeper courses, although after four years the overall pattern is largely consistent with pre-existing secular trends.